Connect with us

Hi, what are you looking for?

Stocks

Market Participation Is Dismal

When we talk about “participation,” we are referring to the number of stocks actually taking part in a given market move. Presently, we are looking at the rally from the October lows and the indicators we use to assess it. First, we have our Silver Cross Index (SCI), which shows the percentage of stocks in the S&P 500 that have their 20-day EMA above their 50-day EMA. This configuration is an intermediate-term BUY Signal, and we can see that the SCI currently reads 47 percent. Note that the SCI reading at the February price top was about 80 percent, so we have a double price top with a severe SCI negative divergence.

We have a similar situation with the Golden Cross Index (GCI), which shows the percent of stocks with the 50-day EMA above the 200-day EMA, a long-term BUY Signal. At 52 percent, it reads a bit higher than the SCI, but it is a slower moving indicator. Nevertheless, it too has negative divergence against the two price tops.

The remaining three panels show the percent of stocks in the index with price above their 20-, 50-, and 200-day EMAs. They are all reading in the 40 percent range, and are all displaying negative divergences. All this evidence tells us that participation is narrowing with fewer stocks supporting the price advance.

Conclusion: Last Friday’s rally fueled hopes that the rally from the October lows would be continuing, but fading participation shows severe erosion of the technical foundation, and a rally continuation seems highly unlikely.

Learn more about DecisionPoint.com:

Watch the latest episode of DecisionPoint on StockCharts TV’s YouTube channel here!

Technical Analysis is a windsock, not a crystal ball. –Carl Swenlin

(c) Copyright 2023 DecisionPoint.com

Helpful DecisionPoint Links:

DecisionPoint Alert Chart List

DecisionPoint Golden Cross/Silver Cross Index Chart List

DecisionPoint Sector Chart List

DecisionPoint Chart Gallery

Trend Models

Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO)

On Balance Volume

Swenlin Trading Oscillators (STO-B and STO-V)

ITBM and ITVM

SCTR Ranking

Bear Market Rules

DecisionPoint is not a registered investment advisor. Investment and trading decisions are solely your responsibility. DecisionPoint newsletters, blogs or website materials should NOT be interpreted as a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any security or to take any specific action. l

    You May Also Like

    Sports

    The Kentucky Derby celebrates a major milestone in 2024, as this year’s race marks the 150th running of the traditional ‘Run for the Roses.’...

    Sports

    LOS ANGELES — As if there needed to be any more evidence of how women’s sports continue to grow, it was a raucous crowd...

    Sports

    Aaron Rodgers was scared at the possible severity of his injury when he tore his Achilles on the New York Jets’ first offensive drive...

    Sports

    The Kansas City Current have fired Carlos Jimenez, the head of its medical staff, for violating the NWSL’s non-fraternization policy. The news was first...

    Disclaimer: adviceoffate.com, its managers, its employees, and assigns (collectively “The Company”) do not make any guarantee or warranty about what is advertised above. Information provided by this website is for research purposes only and should not be considered as personalized financial advice. The Company is not affiliated with, nor does it receive compensation from, any specific security. The Company is not registered or licensed by any governing body in any jurisdiction to give investing advice or provide investment recommendation. Any investments recommended here should be taken into consideration only after consulting with your investment advisor and after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company.

    Copyright © 2024 adviceoffate.com | All Rights Reserved